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COVID-19 may have been in LA before CHRISTMAS, study suggests

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More evidence has emerged that the coronavirus pandemic may have started before China said it did as scientists in California say they had patients with symptoms of the virus before Christmas last year. 

Doctors at University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) Health who scoured through millions of old medical records found a spike in admissions with cough and lung failure beginning in December, which continued through February. 

During those months, there were 50 percent more of these cases than the hospital system had seen during that period for the previous five years. The scientists say that, between December and February, there may have been as many as 1,000 coronavirus patients in Los Angeles.  

The finding will fuel concerns of a major cover-up in China about when the virus truly made the jump to humans. It comes just a day after health officials in the UK pinned the first Covid-19 death there all the way back to January – two months before the first official fatality was reported in Britain.

Beijing has long claimed the disease was first recorded in a wet market in Wuhan just before Christmas, with the Chinese government not reporting it to the World Health Organisation until December 31. 

Los Angeles hospitals saw 50% more coughing patients in December 2019 through February 2020 than in years prior (bottom, orange) and 18 more cases of lung failure than usual (top)

Los Angeles hospitals saw 50% more coughing patients in December 2019 through February 2020 than in years prior (bottom, orange) and 18 more cases of lung failure than usual (top) 

Nearly 250,000 Angelinos have now been diagnosed with COVID-19. The populous  California county is still seeing nearly 700 new cases a day, although its new daily infections are finally starting to decline. 

More than 6,000 people have died of COVID-19 in Los Angeles, with another fatalities reported yesterday. 

The first coronavirus case in LA county was identified on January 26, in a 38-year-old man from Wuhan who was only in the city for a layover at LAX with his family on their way home from vacation in Mexico. 

His illness hit suddenly while at the massive airport on January 22, and he asked a customs officer for help. He was whisked away to Cedars-Sinai Medical Center where his location was known to few for weeks, the Los Angeles Times reported. 

It was a busy flu season for county hospitals, but for five weeks, the traveler remained the only coronavirus case in LA. 

A second case wasn’t confirmed in the county until March 3. The next day, California’s governor, Gavin Newsom, declared a statewide of emergency. 

But the new study, published in the Journal of Medical Internet Research, suggests that some of those suspected flu cases keeping the LA emergency rooms busy were actually COVID-19. 

The UCLA team’s analyzed more than 10 million patient records from between December 1, 2019 and February 29, 2020. 

The first case of coronavirus in Los Angeles was not detected until January 26, when a passenger flying through LAX (airport pictured; patient not pictured) was whisked away to isolation

The first case of coronavirus in Los Angeles was not detected until January 26, when a passenger flying through LAX (airport pictured; patient not pictured) was whisked away to isolation 

Visits to clinics for coughs exceeded the average number of outpatient visits for similar complaints during that same period by more than 50 percent. 

Coughs were cropping up in similarly higher numbers in ERs, too. 

And 18 more patients than  would have been expected in a typical year had to be hospitalized for acute respiratory failure.   

The researchers noted that, at the time, LA hospitals were also seeing more cases  of cough and respiratory illness suspected of being caused by vaping, although rates  e-cigarette use had started falling in the county since September 2019. 

‘We may never truly know if these excess patients represented early and undetected COVID-19 cases in our area,’ said lead study author Dr Joann Elmore, a internal medicine professor at UCLA. 

Emergency rooms (bottom) and outpatient clinics (top) saw a steep spike in visits for cough starting in December 2019 and continuing to February 2020 (blue)

Emergency rooms (bottom) and outpatient clinics (top) saw a steep spike in visits for cough starting in December 2019 and continuing to February 2020 (blue) 

Did China hide when Covid outbreak REALLY started? New details throw doubt on State’s claim the disease broke out of a Wuhan wet market and WASN’T man-made in a lab 

Paul Attwood’s illness in December and his subsequent death do not chime with the international timeline of how Covid-19 spread around the world, because China did not officially report the illness until December 31, at which time it was thought to still be confined to Wuhan.

Since the pandemic spread worldwide, reports and theories have emerged surrounding China’s honesty about the situation. 

A timeline shows how China’s chain of events and Mr Attwood’s case do not line up:

December 15, 2019: British woman Jane Attwood comes down with Covid symptoms, but dismisses it as a bad cold. She continues to attend Christmas parties and care for her elderly parents.

Late December: Jane’s 84-year-old father, Paul Attwood, from Chatham, Kent, is thought to have caught the coronavirus from her. He developed a dry cough on December 28 and his symptoms continue to worsen.

December 31: The first cases of the coronavirus were flagged to the World Health Organisation by the Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, on December 31, which is when it became public.

At the time, officials in China only reported a cluster of people who had pneumonia with an unknown cause – the coronavirus had not been discovered. Around 44 cases of the mystery illness had been detected in the month of December, which does not include people who were not seriously unwell and in hospital.

January 7: Mr Atwood is taken to a Kent hospital because he is struggling to breathe.

January 8, 2020: It was discovered the mystery cases of pneumonia in China was caused by a new coronavirus.

The official story has been that the Covid-19 virus jumped from an animal – thought to be a pangolin – to humans at Hunan Seafood Market in Wuhan city. 

January 9: Wuhan Municipal Health Commission reported the outbreak’s first death – a 61-year-old man.

January 12: Professor Yuen Kwok-yung, a leading microbiologist, claims he alerted Chinese authorities the coronavirus could spread between humans on January 12 after diagnosing a family of seven in Shenzhen, 700 miles from Wuhan.

But his warnings were not made public until January 19 due to a ‘cover up’ according to a BBC Panorama documentary about China’s sluggish early response to the pandemic.

January 13: The first case was diagnosed outside of China – a national who had been on holiday in Thailand. She had been quarantined there on January 8.

January 14: The WHO said there was ‘limited’ human-to-human transmission of the, two days before it said there was ‘no clear evidence of human to human transmission’.

There had been warnings from other doctors that spread among humans was occurring and claims from a German intelligence report that China’s President Xi Jinping personally asked WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus to hold back information about human-to-human transmission and delay a pandemic warning.

January 23: Despite China’s President Xi Jinping knowing about this new coronavirus, and being stung by the previous epidemic caused by a related coronavirus called SARS, it took several days for action to be taken in China.

It wasn’t until January 23 that Wuhan was placed under lockdown, after millions had travelled two and from the city for Lunar New Year celebrations.

January 20: China’s National Health Commission said human to human transmission was ‘affirmative’ after cases cropped up in healthcare workers.

January 22: The WHO finally issued a statement on January 22 saying that evidence suggested human-to-human transmission in Wuhan but that more investigation was needed. By this point, the first cases had been reported by Japan (January 16), the US and South Korea (20), Taiwan (21), Macau and Hong Kong (22).

January 24: France informed WHO of three cases of novel coronavirus, all of whom had travelled from Wuhan, the first confirmed cases in Europe.

January 30: Mr Attwood, from Chatham, Kent, died on January 30 – more than a month before what was previously thought to be the UK’s first virus death on March 2.

The WHO declared the outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern on January 30, by which point 22 countries had reported cases.

JANUARY 31: Two Chinese tourists from Wuhan are diagnosed with Covid-19 in York, England. They were initially thought to be the first coronavirus cases in the UK.

February: Wuhan Institute of Virology filed a patent for the drug Remdesivir, seen as one of the best potential weapons against Covid-19. That’s before scientists had even acknowledged the experimental drug as a potential to treat Covid-19 patients. The Institute found the drug inhibited the virus in lab tests.

February 1: First death of Covid-19 is recorded outside China in the Philippines.

February 6: Stephen Walsh, from Brighton, becomes the UK’s third confirmed case. He caught it in Singapore and gave it to others on ski trip. Public Health England traced people he had been in contact with in the UK.

February 15: The first reported coronavirus death in Europe was an 80-year-old Chinese tourist who died in France.

February 16: US Senator Tom Cotton becomes the first high-profile US politician to raise the possibility that the coronavirus ‘originated’— or, presumably, was created—in a lab in Wuhan. 

February 25: Cases of Covid-19 outside China exceeded those within.

February 28: The first British victim dies on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship which suffered an outbreak infecting 700 people.

March 5: The first death is confirmed in the UK as diagnosed cases of Covid-19 begin to surge.

March 11: WHO states Covid-19 as a pandemic.

March 23: Lockdown is enforced in the UK due to rising infections. It is not clear exactly how many people had caught the virus due to limits on testing.

April: Various reports continue to claim the coronavirus escaped a laboratory in Wuhan. However, there is no solid evidence of any kind that the coronavirus was released accidentally from a lab. 

May 3: US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said that there was ‘enormous evidence’ that the coronavirus pandemic originated in a laboratory in Wuhan. 

Pompeo said on ABC’s This Week: ‘I think the whole world can see now. Remember, China has a history of infecting the world, and they have a history of running substandard laboratories,’ he added.

‘These are not the first times that we’ve had a world exposed to viruses as a result of failures in a Chinese lab.’

July: An investigation by the Sunday Times found a virus 96 per cent identical to the coronavirus that causes Covid-19 was found in an abandoned mine in China seven years ago. The bat-infested copper mine in Mojiang, western China, was home to a coronavirus that left six adult men sick with pneumonia and three of them dead. 

That virus, named RaBtCoV/4991 at the time, now appears to be the closest relative to SARS-Cov-2, which is causing Covid. 

But Chinese researchers do not seem to have been forthcoming about the fact they found such a similar virus almost a decade ago in 2012, and especially not that it killed three men when it was discovered. 

September 3: Kent coroner Bina Patel tells Jane Atwood her father died from Covid-19 back in January.

But her findings suggest that at least some cases of cough and respiratory distress in LA were linked to the pandemic – and keeping an eye out for similar upticks could help health officials identify outbreaks of COVID-19.  

‘The pandemic has really highlighted our need for agile health care analytics that enable real-time symptom and disease surveillance using electronic health records data,’ said Dr Michael Pfeffer, a study co-author and chief information officer for UCLA Health. 

‘Technology, including artificial intelligence powered by machine learning, has further potential to identify and track irregular changes in health data, including significant excesses of patients with specific disease-type presentations in the weeks or months prior to an outbreak.’ 

It comes after a post-mortem found that an 84-year-old man in Britain died of the virus in January – two months before the first fatality was officially reported.

Beijing has long claimed the virus was first recorded in a wet market in Wuhan just before Christmas, with the Chinese government not reporting it to the World Health Organisation until December 31.

However, the death of Peter Attwood, 84, from Chatham, Kent, has raised new questions about an alleged Chinese cover-up after it emerged he had symptoms of the virus on December 28, with his daughter falling ill two weeks earlier. 

Jane Buckland, 46, says her father’s death suggests the virus could have been spreading in Britain as early as November and added: ‘If China hadn’t lied to the rest of the world and kept this hidden for so long, it could have saved countless lives.’

Tory former leader Iain Duncan Smith told DailyMail.com: ‘This shows that there has been a major cover up in China over this from the word go.

‘There needs now to be a full investigation both into the role of China in the covering up of this virus and its human to human transfer capabilities, and questions need to asked about an inquiry into the behaviour of the WHO.

‘Once they knew there was a problem why didn’t they go public with it?’

Initially, the virus was thought to have come from bats sold at a wet market in Wuhan, before scientists and politicians – most notably US President Donald Trump – accused the Chinese government of hiding the fact that it came from a Wuhan virology lab.

Scientists researching the genetic make-up of the virus claim it must have been made in a laboratory as its coding is drastically different to even its closest naturally-occurring relatives. 

Leaked Chinese government records also previously revealed that the first case of the virus can be traced back to November 17 in the province of Hubei.

The date is more than seven weeks before Chinese officials announced they had identified a new virus and over two months before various cities in the region went into lockdown to contain the spread of the bug.

Now, Mr Attwood’s death will increase pressure on China over the origins of the pandemic, which has killed millions of people around the world. 

It will also raise more questions for the WHO, which has been accused of defending and supporting China’s alleged cover-up of the origins of the outbreak.  

WHO Director General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus has previously come under fire for praising China for its ‘transparency’ early in the outbreak.

He has also faced accusation of bias, after he was elected to lead the WHO in 2017 amid allegations of heavy lobbying by Chinese diplomats. 

Mr Atwood, who never left the UK, died on January 30 more than a month before what was previously thought to be the UK’s first virus death on March 5.  

Doctors had been mystified by his illness, originally believing he may have died of asbestosis, a lung condition caused by working around asbestos. Deaths from the illness have to be referred to a coroner.

However, his post-mortem instead detected coronavirus in his lung tissue, leading the Kent coroner to record his cause of death as ‘Covid-19 infection and bronchopneumonia’. 

Daughter Jane believes she fell ill with coronavirus symptoms on December 15, before her father developed a dry cough on December 28 – just one week after cases of the virus were first recorded in Wuhan, according to the Chinese government. 

He was admitted to hospital on January 7 with a bad cough before dying a few weeks later, making him the first person outside of China to die of the virus.  

Mr Attwood’s case will now bolster claims from critics of Beijing who believe the virus may have spread there as early as October. 

In May, it was revealed that a patient treated in a hospital near Paris on December 27 for suspected pneumonia actually had coronavirus. The patient, who later recovered, said he had no idea where he caught the virus as he had not travelled abroad. 

Under the current Chinese version of events, several cases of a pneumonia-like illness were recorded in the country in late December.

On December 31, Beijing reported the first cluster to the WHO, who officially identified the first coronavirus case on January 8, after some 41 people in Wuhan had fallen ill with pneumonia with an unknown cause.

Around 44 cases were reported in Wuhan in December in total, including one case that emerged later of a man who reported symptoms on December 8.

Officially, China recorded its first death on January 11, believed to be linked to a wet market in Wuhan, the day before the genetic sequence for the coronavirus was made available for scientists globally. 

On January 14, the WHO said there was ‘limited’ human to human transmission of the virus, two days before it later claimed there was ‘no clear evidence of human to human transmission’.

Imperial College estimated 4,500 people could have had the virus in Wuhan, despite official Chinese figures reporting only 48.

On January 20, China’s National Health Commission admitted there was evidence of human to human transmission.

Two days later, the WHO finally accepted human-to-human transmission in Wuhan, though it insisted more research was required.

By the next day, Wuhan and several other cities had been placed under lockdown, with the virus being found in every province in China by January 29.

On January 30, the WHO declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern, with the first death outside China, in the Philippines, recorded on February 1.

However, the death of Mr Attwood, recorded on January 30, has thrown the timeline into chaos.

By February 25, cases outside China had exceeded those within, although there is increasing doubt over the accuracy of Beijing’s figures.

The WHO waited until March 11 to declare a pandemic.

The first reported coronavirus death in Europe was not recorded until February 15, after an 80-year-old Chinese tourist died in France.

In the UK, the first death was not confirmed until March 5, only a few days before a global pandemic was declared on March 11. 

Since then, several countries have seen their death and infection rates soar past China’s tolls with a study claiming that China’s real coronavirus death toll could be 14 times higher than official statistics show.

US researchers suggest China covered up the true size of its epidemic and used the activity of crematoriums in Wuhan to try and calculate accurate numbers.

They found the city — which is where the pandemic began in December — may have been burning between 800 and 2,000 bodies every day by the second week of February, when the official death toll for the whole of China was only around 700.

The first wave of reported cases in Wuhan were linked to a wet market.

However, it later emerged that the Wuhan wet market was a ‘victim’ of coronavirus rather than the cause.

Genetic evidence confirmed that the virus originated in Chinese bats before it jumped to humans via an ‘intermediary animal’, but the exact location of the transition is unknown.

This has led to accusations against the Chinese government that the virus had originated in a lab and had spread to the population through an accidental leak or, as some conspiracy theorists claim, deliberate release. 

US president Donald Trump previously said he’d seen evidence to prove it started in a virology lab, though China insist the theory isn’t true.

In May, a respected author and China expert claimed coronavirus must have leaked from a Wuhan laboratory – not from wildlife wet markets.

‘The argument that the coronavirus emerged from the South China Seafood market just no longer stacks up,’ Professor Clive Hamilton told Sky News on Sunday night.

Professor Hamilton said the earliest cases of COVID-19 were in people who had no contact with the Wuhan wet market,

‘This has been demonstrated by top quality studies,’ he said.  

‘So the idea that it originated in December sometime, usually late December, in this market, simply doesn’t stack up. 

‘The only other plausible explanation was that it was a leak from the Wuhan Institute of Virology.’   

The hypothesis came from Chinese scientists themselves and was all over the internet before disappearing, Professor Hamilton said.

Internet uses all over China had even searched for the woman thought to be patient zero – who worked at the Wuhan Institute of Virology and ‘seems to have disappeared off the face of the planet’, he said. 

Previously, an analysis of private cellphone location data also allegedly showed that the Wuhan Institute of Virology shut down from October 7 to October 24, and this may indicate a ‘hazardous event’ sometime between October 6 and October 11.  

Speaking about her father’s death, Jane said she received an email from Kent coroner Bina Patel last Thursday saying coronavirus had been found in his lung tissue during the post mortem. 

She said: ‘The doctors did every test under the sun but couldn’t figure out what was wrong with him.

‘His blood tests showed a high level of infection but they had no idea what it was.

‘He died on January 30 and the provisional death certificate said it was heart failure and pneumonia.

‘The virus was obviously running rampant in this country back in December or maybe even earlier.

‘China was covering it up from the beginning.

‘It’s no wonder so many people in this country ended up dying from it. How many lives could have been saved if we’d known what was really going on?

‘My dad was elderly and had an underlying heart condition, so he would have been shielding.’

University of East Anglia Professor of Medicine Paul Hunter said of Peter’s case: ‘This is a remarkable development because it shows there was some virus transmission in the UK before anyone realised.’ 

A Government spokesman said: ‘Every death is a tragedy. There is no evidence that there was sustained transmission within the community in January 2020.

‘We acted swiftly to curb coronavirus and at all times we have been guided by the best available evidence to deliver a strategy designed to protect the NHS and save lives.’ 

The story comes after speculation that China’s government tried to mask the scale of coronavirus and its dangers in its early days of discovery, including silencing whistleblowers.

Various aspects of Beijing’s information has been questioned and even discredited.

China has reported relatively low numbers of cases and deaths — 85,146  and 4,634 — despite it having no warning of the coronavirus, as other countries did.

The first confirmed cases emerged there weeks before it did in any other nation and months before the crisis really hit Europe and America, going by official data alone.

Daily confirmed cases never reached more than 4,000 and deaths 150, despite there being no measures in place to stop the coronavirus spread until late January.

Scientists at Imperial College London estimated up to 4,500 patients in China may have caught the coronavirus by mid-January, when only 48 cases had officially been reported. 

Health chiefs first alerted the WHO in late December. But symptoms of the coronavirus were being detected as early as October. 

Satellite photos at Hubei Women and Children’s Hospital’s car park show 383 cars in October 2018.

One year later, 714 cars can be spotted in the same hospital car park in Wuhan, fuelling claims that the virus was spreading through the city in October.

A surge in road traffic outside Wuhan hospitals at the end of last summer – coupled with an increase in internet searches for coronavirus-like symptoms – also suggests Covid-19 could have hit China before autumn. 

French athletes think they caught Covid-19 while competing in the World Military Games, held in Wuhan, China.

Several fell ill with bad flu-like symptoms during the event, which took place over nine days from October 18.

‘A lot of athletes at the World Military Games were very ill,’ said Elodie Clouvel, a world champion modern pentathlete.

This followed the revelation that a fishmonger treated in a Paris hospital for suspected pneumonia on December 27 had been confirmed as a victim of the new virus. He was baffled since he had not travelled abroad. 

China notified the disease to the World Health Organisation four days after the Frenchman was in hospital, on December 31, and did not put Wuhan into lockdown for a further 24 days.  

Wuhan, a city of 11 million people, is a transport hub. Over three crucial months from December, there were 7,530 flights between there and other parts of China, carrying more than one million passengers – and ten direct flights to the UK.

Yet even in January, Chinese leaders prevented expert outside teams from investigating the virus, silenced doctors trying to warn citizens and refused to admit there was human transmission until January 20. 

The first case of someone in China suffering from Covid-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus, can be traced back to November 17, according to government data seen by the South China Morning Post but not publically available. 

The paper reported from November 17, one to five new cases were reported each day, reaching 381 on January 1.  

However, the WHO was only notified of 41 hospitalised patients, it appears.  

Only a small minority of people who catch the coronavirus get severely sick with it, either needing hospital care or dying. This alone suggests the coronavirus was spreading several weeks in China before the first patient succumbed to it.

And Mr Atwood’s case suggests patients both in China and globally may have died of the coronavirus but doctor’s thought their cause of death was something else because they did not know about Covid-19. 

It echoes the stories of other British people who are of the belief they have already had the coronavirus in 2019. 

Jane Hall, who sings in the Voice of Yorkshire choir and All Together Now community choir, said friends in both groups had fallen ill in January with one member experiencing symptoms consistent with Covid-19 as early as late December.

The first singer to become ill was the partner of a businessman who had returned from a trip to Wuhan in mid-December and developed a hacking cough.

Miss Hall, from Bradford, in West Yorkshire, said: ‘My friend from the choir became ill mid-January. Then my best friend, Christine, became ill, and I became ill the first weekend of February.

Did China’s covid outbreak really start in OCTOBER? The claims that call into question Beijing’s account of how the global pandemic started – and when 

October – December 31 

China claims: Beijing reported the first cluster to the WHO on December 31, reporting around 41 cases.  

Critics claim: However, mounting evidence suggests that the virus may have actually started spreading in Wuhan as early as October. Satellite photos at Hubei Women and Children’s Hospital’s car park show 383 cars in October 2018. One year later, 714 cars can be spotted in the same hospital car park in Wuhan, fuelling claims that the virus was spreading through the city in October. French athletes think they caught Covid-19 while competing in the World Military Games, held in Wuhan, China.

Several fell ill with bad flu-like symptoms during the event, which took place over nine days from October 18. 

January 11

China claims: Beijing officially records its first death on January 11, believed to be linked to a wet market in Wuhan. 

Critics claim: China has been accused of hiding the true extent of the death toll.  It reported relatively low numbers of cases and deaths — 85,146  and 4,634 — despite it having no warning of the coronavirus, as other countries did. 

Scientists at Imperial College London estimated up to 4,500 patients in China may have caught the coronavirus by mid-January, when only 48 cases had officially been reported.   

January 12 

China claims: The Beijing government has denied all claims of a cover-up and insisted that it had been entirely truthful and transparent about the outbreak. 

Critics claim: Professor Yuen Kwok-yung, a leading microbiologist, claims he alerted Chinese authorities the coronavirus could spread between humans on January 12 after diagnosing a family of seven in Shenzhen, 700 miles from Wuhan.

But his warnings were not made public until January 19 due to a ‘cover up’ according to a BBC Panorama documentary about China’s sluggish early response to the pandemic.

There is growing evidence that the outbreak started spreading in China in October. Pictured are satellite photos at Hubei Women and Children’s Hospital's car park, which show 383 cars in October 2018

There is growing evidence that the outbreak started spreading in China in October. Pictured are satellite photos at Hubei Women and Children’s Hospital’s car park, which show 383 cars in October 2018

The same aerial shot a year later reveals that this figure rose to 640 cars - which is a jump of more than 26 per cent

The same aerial shot a year later reveals that this figure rose to 640 cars – which is a jump of more than 26 per cent

January 14

China claims: The WHO, after sending officials to China, said there was ‘limited’ human-to-human transmission of the, two days before it said there was ‘no clear evidence of human to human transmission’.

Critics claim: There had been warnings from other doctors that spread among humans was occurring and claims from a German intelligence report that China’s President Xi Jinping personally asked WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus to hold back information about human-to-human transmission and delay a pandemic warning. Tedros was reportedly elected to his position after intense lobbying by Chinese diplomats.

January 20

China claims: China’s National Health Commission said human to human transmission was ‘affirmative’ after cases cropped up in healthcare workers. 

Critics claim: China filed a patent for the drug Remdesivir, seen as one of the best potential weapons against COVID-19, the day after it finally confirmed human transmission of the disease. The application was made by Wuhan Institute of Virology, the top-secret bio-laboratory at the centre of concerns about a possible leak of the disease from its research on bats, and the country’s Military Medicine Institute

January 23

China claims: Beijing finally puts Wuhan under lockdown, as infections continue to soar and after millions had travelled to and from the city for Lunar New Year celebrations. 

Critics claim: The move comes despite Xi Jinping knowing about the spread of the virus by January 7.  China has since admitted destroying early samples of coronavirus in January, but claims it was acting in the interests of public health and denies stonewalling sample requests from other countries.

March 1 

China claims: It has been open and honest with the world about the spread of coronavirus

Critics claim: Chinese scientists raised fears about a SARS-like virus in December but were told to keep quiet by the government. 

In December a number of sick patients in Wuhan were tested by genomics companies, who noticed similarities between their illnesses and SARS, as reported by Caixin Global.Researchers told Beijing about their findings, but were told to keep quiet by China’s National Health Commission.

This data appears to show coronavirus may have spreading in Wuhan months before it did. A graph showing hospital traffic in Wuhan. The first dotted line represents when traffic and internet searches for Covid-19 symptoms began to rise, the second shows December, when the region was suffering the peak number of coronavirus cases and the third shows February when the pandemic was largely under control and lockdown also restricted people from using their cars

This data appears to show coronavirus may have spreading in Wuhan months before it did. A graph showing hospital traffic in Wuhan. The first dotted line represents when traffic and internet searches for Covid-19 symptoms began to rise, the second shows December, when the region was suffering the peak number of coronavirus cases and the third shows February when the pandemic was largely under control and lockdown also restricted people from using their cars

March 13

China claims:  The first case of coronavirus in the country was reported near the end of December 2019. 

Critics claim: Leaked Chinese government records reveal the first case of someone suffering with coronavirus was traced to November 17 – several weeks before Beijing’s official record.  

May 3

China claims: They are not to blame for the spread of the outbreak, describing the Wuhan market as a ‘victim’ and suggesting the virus came from elsewhere.

Critics claim: US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said that there was ‘enormous evidence’ that the coronavirus pandemic originated in a laboratory in Wuhan. 

Pompeo said on ABC’s This Week: ‘I think the whole world can see now. Remember, China has a history of infecting the world, and they have a history of running substandard laboratories,’ he added.

‘These are not the first times that we’ve had a world exposed to viruses as a result of failures in a Chinese lab.’

June 8: 

China claims: Isolated cases of the virus were seen in the month of December, before a cluster emerged at the end of the year, with China informing the WHO on December 31.

Critics claim: A study revealed a surge in road traffic outside Wuhan hospitals at the end of last summer – coupled with an increase in internet searches for coronavirus-like symptoms – suggests Covid-19 could have hit China before autumn.

That is far earlier than has ever been speculated before. 

A study from Harvard Medical School led by Dr John Brownstein analysed commercial satellite imagery. His team ‘observed a dramatic increase in hospital traffic outside five major Wuhan hospitals beginning late summer and early fall 2019’. He said the traffic surge ‘coincided’ with a rise in internet searches for symptoms that are ‘closely associated’ with coronavirus.

June 17 

China claims: Officially, China claims it has had 85,146 cases and 4,634 deaths, with no single day seeing more than 150 deaths. 

Critics claim: US researchers suggest China’s true coronavirus death toll could be 14 times higher than official figures. The study used the activity of crematoriums in Wuhan to try and calculate accurate numbers.

They found the city — which is where the pandemic began in December — may have been burning between 800 and 2,000 bodies every day by the second week of February, when the official death toll for the whole of China was only around 700.

Reports of 86 Wuhan crematoriums operating 24 hours a day at full capacity raises suspicion that the number of people dying was more than just hundreds, they said.

Funeral homes were also buying thousands of urns for ashes and the study suggests that, by March 23 — when the UK went into lockdown — around 36,000 people had died in Wuhan alone. The official number for all China at the time was 2,524.

July: 

China claims: It is not behind the outbreak of the coronavirus and is a ‘victim’ of the outbreak. 

Critics claim: An investigation by the Sunday Times found a virus 96 per cent identical to the coronavirus that causes Covid-19 was found in an abandoned mine in China seven years ago. The bat-infested copper mine in Mojiang, western China, was home to a coronavirus that left six adult men sick with pneumonia and three of them dead. 

That virus, named RaBtCoV/4991 at the time, now appears to be the closest relative to SARS-Cov-2, which is causing Covid. 

But Chinese researchers do not seem to have been forthcoming about the fact they found such a similar virus almost a decade ago in 2012, and especially not that it killed three men when it was discovered. 

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