Hospitals shouldn’t overflow at Christmas

Despite a marked 60% increase in COVID-19 cases in recent weeks, there should be no shortage of beds to accommodate people who will be hospitalized during the critical holiday season.

• Read also: [EN DIRECT] All developments in the COVID-19 pandemic

This is what the Institute of Excellence in Health and Social Services (INESSS) provides in its most recent weekly projections on the evolution of the pandemic in Quebec.

The situation remains tense in Quebec as the number of COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations have jumped 60% and 50% respectively over the past three weeks and the increase continues.

Of the new cases confirmed during the week of December 7 to 13, 623 are at high risk of hospitalization, a 16% increase from the previous week (536).

Hospitals in the province should still have the means to accommodate all these potential patients.

After being relatively spared compared to other regions this fall, the number of new infections reported in Greater Montreal now appears to be accelerating. However, INESSS does not foresee an overrun of hospital capacity in the next month.

For regions outside Greater Montreal, the number of new hospitalizations planned remains high, but tends to decrease slightly. As two-thirds of the beds reserved for COVID patients are however occupied, the situation remains critical and it is not impossible to run out of them in the event of major outbreaks.

INESSS has developed a model to predict the number of individuals who will be hospitalized in the coming weeks, by analyzing the profile of people who have contracted COVID-19 in the past few days.

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