President-elect Joe Biden’s victory defied crucial ‘non-polling metrics’ that have a ‘100 per cent accuracy’ in predicting the election winner, pollster said.
Patrick Basham, founding director of the Democracy Institute, said Biden’s victory of Trump was ‘not statistically impossible, but it’s statistically implausible.’
He told Mark Levin of Fox News that with the election results, ‘something very strange has happened because the numbers just don’t add up.’
According to Basham, there are a ‘dozen or more’ non-polling metrics that ‘have a 100% accuracy rate in terms of predicting the winner of the presidential election.’
Pollster Patrick Basham said that Joe Biden’s (left) victory over President Trump (right) defied important ‘non-polling metrics’ that have a ‘100 per cent accuracy’
Patrick Basham (pictured) said Biden’s victory was ‘not statistically impossible, but it’s statistically implausible’
The metrics included ‘party registration trends, how the candidates did in their respective presidential primaries, the number of individual donations, [and] how much enthusiasm each candidate generated in the opinion polls.’
Basham explained that Trump scored well with those non-polling metrics during his first presidential run in 2016 and again in 2020.
‘In 2016, they all indicated strongly that Donald Trump would win against most of the public polling. That was again the case in 2020,’ Basham told Levin, host of ‘Live, Liberty & Levin.’
‘So if we are to accept that Biden won against the trend of all these non-polling metrics, it not only means that one of these metrics was inaccurate … for the first time ever, it means that each one of these metrics was wrong for the first time and at the same time as all of the others.’
Basham noted that Trump’s loss came after he performed better in several pivotal voting metrics compared to 2016.
‘If you look at the results, you see how Donald Trump improved his national performance over 2016 by almost 20 per cent.’ said Basham.
‘No incumbent president has ever lost a reelection bid if he’s increased his votes [total]. Obama went down by three and a half million votes between 2008 and 2012, but still won comfortably.’
Basham noted that Trump gained ground with minorities, Catholics and other groups.
‘If you look at those results, you see that Donald Trump did very well, even better than four years earlier, with the white working class,’ Basham said.
‘He held his own with women and suburban voters against all of most of the polling expectations, did very well with Catholics, improved his vote among Jewish voters.
‘He had the best minority performance for a Republican since Richard Nixon in 1960, doing so well with African-Americans, and importantly with Hispanics.’
While speaking on Fox News, Basham even said that if 100 observers were sequestered on election night and only seen ‘the vote breakdown by demographic group,’ Trump was the winner.
’99, at least out of those 100 independent, well-informed observers would say, well, obviously, Trump,’ Basham told Levin.
Pictured: US President Donald Trump points at the end of a rally to support Republican Senate candidates at Valdosta Regional Airport in Valdosta, Georgia
Basham also touched on mail-in and absentee ballots, which 65million Americans used to vote this election.
He discussed a ‘historically low ballot rejection rate for absentee and mail-in ballots.’
‘Rejection rates, which in the primaries earlier this year were well into the double-digits and which historically have often been very, very high in these key swing states, or at least in the key swing counties, we’re seeing rejection rates of less than 1%, often very close to to zero,’ said Basham.
‘Given the increase in absentee balloting and the lack of experience that most of the new voters and those doing the counting would have with those ballots, it is implausible, to put it politely, that that figure would be as low as it was.
On Friday, Trump’s campaign filed a lawsuit in Georgia that called for a new statewide presidential election and furthered allegations of voter fraud.
The lawsuit joined more than 40 other legal challenges brought forth by Trump’s campaign and supporters that alleged widespread voter fraud
The Trump campaign claimed in a statement there was ‘literally tens of thousands of illegal votes that were cast, counted, and included’ in the 2020 General Election.
‘The massive irregularities, mistakes, and potential fraud violate the Georgia Election Code, making it impossible to know with certainty the actual outcome of the presidential race in Georgia,’ wrote Ray S. Smith III, lead counsel for the Trump Campaign.
It also promised the lawsuit would include sworn statements from Georgia residents alleging fraud.
Initial returns showed Biden with a lead of more than 14,000 votes out of about 5 million cast. An initial hand recount put Biden’s margin at about 12,500.
The Associated Press tallied about 50 lawsuits alleging voter fraud have been filed by Trump’s campaign.